The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grimsby Town 37.2%
Draw 28.9%
Port Vale 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
26.4%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
26%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
41.7%
33.3%
Grimsby Town - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (G) 2. Cass L. 5. Rodgers H. 17. McJannett C. 33. Hume D. 20. McEachran G. 7. Davies J. 30. Khouri E. 8. Luker J. 16. Ainley C. 32. Rose D.
1. Ripley C. (G) 2. Clark M. 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. 23. Shorrock J. 26. Richards R. 18. Croasdale R. 4. Heneghan B. 10. Chislett E. 32. Hackford A. 17. Paton R.
Substitutes
41. Auton S. (G) 14. Barrington L. 4. Green K. 15. Pyke R. 11. Svanthorsson J. 24. Tharme D. 21. Warren T.
13. Amos B. (G) 27. Cover B. 11. Curtis R. 42. Hart S. 24. Kyle John 16. Lowe J. 19. Tolaj L.
Coaches
Artell D.
Moore D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Debrah J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, McJannett C. ⚽, Davies J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Shorrock J. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
50', Cass L. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
60', Ainley C. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
60', Richards R. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
71', Davies J. 🟨,
74', Davies J. ↓, Green K. ↑,
75', Luker J. ↓, Tharme D. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Tharme D. ⚽,
82', Clark M. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Svanthorsson J. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.6:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).