The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 54.9%
Draw 25.5%
Carlisle United 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
25%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
24.7%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Port Vale aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Port Vale - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 27. Cover B. 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. (C) 23. Shorrock J. 18. Croasdale R. 45. Harper R. 26. Richards R. 10. Chislett E. 17. Paton R. 9. Stockley J.
13. Breeze G. (G) 6. Hayden A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 26. Barclay B. 18. Ellis J. 17. Neal H. 22. Mellish J. 3. Harper C. 24. Sadi D. 29. Armstrong L. 11. Jones J.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 11. Curtis R. 25. Edwards D. 32. Hackford A. 4. Heneghan B. 20. Sang T. 19. Tolaj L.
14. Adu Adjei D. 12. Biggins H. 37. Burey T. 15. Charters T. 31. Hetherington S. 9. Kelly G. 41. Randall T. (G)
Coaches
Moore D.
Williamson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Jones J. 🟨,
29', Neal H. 🟨,
30', Shorrock J. 🟨,
39', Harper C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Richards R. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
46', Cover B. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
64', Paton R. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
74', Sadi D. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
74', Jones J. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
74', Ellis J. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
79', Harper R. ↓, Edwards D. ↑,
90', Lavelle S. 🟨,
90+2', Mellish J. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 0.9:0.8).