The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 33.3%
Draw 28.9%
Grimsby Town 37.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.2%
27.8%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
27.8%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Port Vale - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Grimsby (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Marosi M. (G) 25. Humphreys C. 4. Moon J. 5. Hall C. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 10. Dempsey K. 33. Hall G. 8. Garrity B. (C) 3. Headley J. 11. Hernandez O. 36. Watters M.
31. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D. 14. Amaluzor J. 4. Green K. (C) 28. Cartwright F. 30. Vernam C. 39. Cook A.
Substitutes
27. Asamoah M. 7. Byers G. 2. Kyle John 14. Lynch O. 1. Smith J. (G) 19. Waine B. 38. Walters R.
1. Cartwright H. (G) 8. Doyle C. 10. Finch S. 9. Morgan I. 26. Pruti E. 11. Reynolds R. 7. Walker J.
Coaches
Brady J.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Hall G. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Dempsey K. ⚽, Headley J. (A),
45+1', Cartwright F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Cartwright F. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
70', Amaluzor J. ↓, Morgan I. ↑,
71', Hall G. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
71', Watters M. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
79', Hernandez O. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
84', Dempsey K. ↓, Byers G. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 23rd in the Relegation - National League and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
Port Vale has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Grimsby is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Port Vale could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Port Vale: Faal M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Grimsby: Andrews J.
(Inactive)
Shelton M.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Port Vale has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:18 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Port Vale against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).
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Marosi M. (G) 
Humphreys C. 
Hernandez O. 
Pym C. (G) 
Kacurri M. 
Turi G. D. 
Byers G. 
Waine B. 
Doyle C. 
Morgan I. 
Brady J. 
Artell D. 
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