Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
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Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
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Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
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United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
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	Grimsby Town		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.42
	6.9	4.45	1.47
	6.99	4.59	1.47
	6.78	4.62	1.46	Watch
	6.5	4	1.44
	6.72	4.65	1.5	Watch
	7	4.5	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.77 ↑ (5.93)	4.47 ↓ (4.79)	1.46 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
14%

Draw
21.2%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

19.7%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

18.4%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolverhampton: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Grimsby (5.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. (C) 21. Warren T. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D. 18. Burns D. 7. Walker J. 8. Khouri E. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J.	31. Johnstone S. (G) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 8. Joao Gomes 7. Andre (C) 36. Mane M. 6. Wolfe D. M. 9. Armstrong A. 14. Arokodare T.
Substitutes
14. Amaluzor J. 41. Auton S. (G) 39. Cook A. 4. Green K. 2. Kacurri M. 29. Oduor C. 40. Sellars-Fleming T. 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 16. Staunton R.	27. Bellegarde J. 25. Bentley D. (G) 3. Bueno H. 2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 47. Gomes A. 21. Gomes R. 17. Pedro Lima 62. Rawlings L.
Coaches
Artell D.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
34', McJannet C. 🟨,
36', Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kabia J. 🟨,
57', Walker J. ↓, Green K. ↑,
57', Kabia J. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Bueno S. ⚽, Joao Gomes (A),
74', Vernam C. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
75', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
83', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
89', Andre ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,

Preview

Grimsby is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wolverhampton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Wolverhampton is the clear favorite.

We predict that Grimsby will win today's game, with odds of 6.13.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Wolves: 0.71%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
11.02.26	Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Newport County - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Colchester United - Grimsby Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTWW
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLLT

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