Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	00:30	Stan Sport
Austria	14:30	DAZN
Brazil	10:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	21:30	Migu
Croatia	14:30	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	14:30	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	14:30	Viaplay
Finland	15:30	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Germany	14:30	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:30	M Plus Live
Hungary	14:30	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	Sony LIV
Indonesia	20:30	Vidio
Italy	14:30	DAZN Italia, Discovery+
Japan	22:30	U-NEXT
Kenya	16:30	Gotv
Kosovo	14:30	Arena Premium 3
Malaysia	21:30	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	14:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	07:30	FOX One
Netherlands	14:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:30	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	14:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Portugal	13:30	Sport TV6
Romania	15:30	Voyo
Serbia	14:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	21:30	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	14:30	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
South Africa	15:30	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Sweden	14:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	14:30	DAZN Switzerland
United Kingdom	13:30	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	08:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	FPT Play


	Grimsby Town		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.42
	6.9	4.45	1.47
	6.99	4.59	1.47
	6.78	4.62	1.46	Watch
	6.5	4	1.44
	6.72	4.65	1.5	Watch
	7	4.5	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.77 ↑ (5.93)	4.47 ↓ (4.79)	1.46 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
14%

Draw
21.2%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
64.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.9%

19.7%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

19.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolverhampton: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Grimsby (5.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. (C) 21. Warren T. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D. 18. Burns D. 7. Walker J. 8. Khouri E. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J.	31. Johnstone S. (G) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 8. Joao Gomes 7. Andre (C) 36. Mane M. 6. Wolfe D. M. 9. Armstrong A. 14. Arokodare T.
Substitutes
14. Amaluzor J. 41. Auton S. (G) 39. Cook A. 4. Green K. 2. Kacurri M. 29. Oduor C. 40. Sellars-Fleming T. 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 16. Staunton R.	27. Bellegarde J. 25. Bentley D. (G) 3. Bueno H. 2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 47. Gomes A. 21. Gomes R. 17. Pedro Lima 62. Rawlings L.
Coaches
Artell D.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
34', McJannet C. 🟨,
36', Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kabia J. 🟨,
57', Walker J. ↓, Green K. ↑,
57', Kabia J. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Bueno S. ⚽, Joao Gomes (A),
74', Vernam C. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
75', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
83', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
89', Andre ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,

Preview

Grimsby is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wolverhampton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Wolverhampton is the clear favorite.

We predict that Grimsby will win today's game, with odds of 6.13.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Wolves: 0.78%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
11.02.26	Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Newport County - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Colchester United - Grimsby Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTWW
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLLT

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