Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 3

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)

Referee: Kuniyoshi S. (Jpn)


	Grulla Morioka		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.78	3.52	2.38
	2.78	3.52	2.38
	2.6	3.25	2.3
	2.75	3.36	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.88)	3.37 ↑ (3.34)	2.35 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
33.7%

Draw
27.3%

Ryūkyū
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.5%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okubo T. (G) 25. Yamato Y. 51. Fukatsu K. 5. Sako M. 6. Takahashi S. 22. Nishi D. 17. Niizato R. 13. Kogure D. 15. Kagami T. 10. Otabor K. 9. Tokura K.	35. Higashi J. (G) 22. Uehara M. 3. Mori Y. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 55. Koki Y. 6. Okazawa K. 24. Sato Y. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 8. Iwabuchi R. 7. Shirai H.
Substitutes
21. Inaba A. (G) 32. Kamisasanuki M. 11. Kiri S. 77. Komatsu K. 3. Lee B. C. 14. Matsubara K. 29. Mizuno K.	18. Hiramatsu S. 39. Ihara A. 17. Masutani K. 9. Noda R. 31. Park Seong-Su (G) 89. Takagi D. 19. Takayasu T.
Coaches
Nakamikawa T.	Kim J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Koki Y. ⚽, Fujiharu H. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Tokura K. ⚽,
45', Kagami T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Koki Y. ↓, Takayasu T. ↑,
57', Iwabuchi R. ↓, Hiramatsu S. ↑,
60', Sako M. 🟨,
68', Sako M. ↓, Saito R. ↑,
68', Kagami T. ↓, Komatsu K. ↑,
70', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
70', Shirai H. ↓, Ihara A. ↑,
80', Otabor K. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
80', Kogure D. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
88', Niizato R. ↓, Mizuno K. ↑,
90', Komatsu K. 🟨,
90', Sato Y. ↓, Noda R. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Grulla Morioka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Grulla Morioka have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Grulla Morioka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Grulla Morioka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Osaka	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
31.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Ryūkyū - Nagano Parceiro	4:3 ✺
10.04.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ryūkyū	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Ryūkyū - Kataller Toyama	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
14.10.23	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	2:2
11.03.23	Ryūkyū - Grulla Morioka	2:1
Japan J2 League
06.07.22	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	0:1
05.03.22	Ryūkyū - Grulla Morioka	1:2

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