Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 3, Unitel
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 2
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Grêmio		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.46	4.33	6.75
	1.41	4.25	7.4	Watch
	1.43	4.58	7.75
	1.42	4.59	7.55	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.54	7.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.4 ↑ (4.36)	7.21 ↑ (7.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grêmio
65.7%

Draw
21.3%

Palestino
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.7%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

21.2%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Grêmio - Palestino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weverton (C) 7. Pavon C. 43. Luis Eduardo 44. Viery 54. Pedro Gabriel 33. Perez L. 19. Noriega E. 99. Enamorado J. 37. Gabriel Mec 9. Amuzu F. 22. Braithwaite M.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 24. Salgado D. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 3. Roco E. 23. Leon J. 18. Gallegos S. 5. Fernandez J. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 15. Montes Romero F. T. 30. Alegria I. 9. Fernandez R.
Substitutes
77. Andre Henrique 38. Caio Paulista 95. Carlos Vinicius 17. Dodi 14. Marcos Rocha 11. Monsalve M. 65. Riquelme 21. Tete 24. Thiago Beltrame (G) 39. Tiago 3. Wagner Leonardo 4. Walter Kannemann	21. Araya M. 16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 19. Da Silva N. 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 13. Gomez A. 6. Meza F. 8. Meza N. 27. Munder C. 1. Salas S. (G) 20. Tapia Paez G.
Coaches
Castro L.	Farre G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Fernandez R. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Braithwaite M. ⚽,
38', Fernandez J. 🟨,
44', Perez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salgado D. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
46', Alegria I. ↓, Munder C. ↑,
46', Perez L. ↓, Riquelme ↑,
55', Garguez Gomez I. A. 🟨,
58', Carrasco B. 🟨,
62', Viery 🟨,
66', Luis Eduardo ↓, Walter Kannemann ↑,
67', Gabriel Mec ↓, Carlos Vinicius ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Pavon C. ⚽,
69', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
78', Enamorado J. ↓, Tete ↑,
78', Viery ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
78', Carrasco B. ↓, Araya M. ↑,
78', Fernandez R. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
89', Riquelme 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Grêmio has had a series of away games.

In this match, Grêmio is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grêmio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Bahia - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Confiança - Grêmio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Grêmio - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Deportivo Riestra - Grêmio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLWT
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
15.05.26	Palestino - Deportes La Serena	5:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
11.05.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Palestino	1:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
02.05.26	Everton de Viña - Palestino	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Palestino - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Palestino - Grêmio	0:0

Upcoming Matches