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Montevideo City Torque vs Palestino Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, May 06, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Montevideo City Torque		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.1	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4
	1.92	3.2	3.95	Watch
	1.93	3.35	4.4
	1.93	3.34	4.27	Watch
	1.91	3	4
	1.9	3.22	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.02)	3.23 ↓ (3.32)	4.14 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
48.9%

Draw
28.7%

Palestino
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Montevideo City Torque will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 2. Romero F. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 14. Kociubinski B. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S. 18. Lecchini R.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 3. Roco E. 28. Zuniga D. 8. Meza N. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 18. Gallegos S. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 27. Munder C. 19. Da Silva N.
Substitutes
12. Aguiar M. (G) 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 19. Guzman D. 29. Martinez F. 31. Munoz A. 21. Perez N. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 3. Silva K. 27. Taran J.	30. Alegria I. 21. Araya M. 16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 5. Fernandez J. 9. Fernandez R. 13. Gomez A. 23. Leon J. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Farre G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Lecchini R. 🟨,
38', Montes Romero F. T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Munder C. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Pizzichillo F. ⚽,
52', Pizzichillo F. 🟨,
66', Da Silva N. 🟨,
70', Carrasco B. ↓, Araya M. ↑,
70', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
73', Lecchini R. ↓, Quintana J. ↑,
81', Da Silva N. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
84', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
90', Roco E. 🟨,
90+1', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
90+2', Obregon E. ↓, Taran J. ↑,
90+2', Zuniga D. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
90+2', Montes G. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
90+7', Garguez Gomez I. A. 🟨,
90+7', Da Silva N. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Palestino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Montevideo City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Montevideo City is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montevideo City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

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Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo City Torque - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Montevideo City Torque	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.04.26	Montevideo City Torque - Boston River	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Cerro - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	Palestino - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWTW
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Copa de la Liga
02.05.26	Everton de Viña - Palestino	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Palestino - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
23.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Colo-Colo - Palestino	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	Palestino - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	Palestino - Montevideo City Torque	0:2

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