Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Bahia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.95
	2.45	2.8	3.1
	2.5	2.8	2.95
	2.72	2.86	3.18
	2.6	2.8	3
	2.54	2.96	2.95	Watch
	2.55	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.58)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)	3.03 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
36.5%

Draw
32.8%

Bahia
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

31.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	20%	24%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Novorizontino is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bahia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Giovanni (Injury)

There will not play in Bahia: Danilo Fernandes (Injury) Everton (Red Card) Matheus Bahia (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.22	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
20.09.22	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
16.09.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
07.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
30.09.22	Chapecoense - Bahia	3:1 ✺
24.09.22	Bahia - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
12.09.22	Sport Recife - Bahia	1:0 ✺
08.09.22	Criciúma - Bahia	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Bahia - Tombense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.06.22	Bahia - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1

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