Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 22

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rueda B. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bolivia	19:30	Entel Gol 56


	Guabirá		Oriente Petrolero

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.20	3.70	2.55
	2.3	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.33	3.85	2.59
	2.4	3.61	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.35	2.5
	2.34	3.44	2.5	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.95)	3.53 ↓ (3.91)	2.61 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guabirá
39.5%

Draw
25.7%

Oriente Petrolero
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.9%

23.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

24.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guabirá's form might have worsened.

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oriente Petrolero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guabirá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriente Petrolero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arauz J. (G) 97. Gil S. 6. Anez C. (C) 2. Barro J. 29. Masskooni N. 37. Chavez T. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 7. Peredo G. 15. Rafinha 91. Abrego V. 11. Garzon S.	1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 24. Velasco M. 3. Mizael Monteiro 28. Velasco J. 6. Rodriguez D. 77. Herrera J. 20. Lovera J. (C) 7. Flores J. 11. Vaca L. 8. Siles O. 91. Nacif N.
Substitutes
9. Alarcon F. 28. Baigorria Y. 25. Coronado Corcuy R. D. (G) 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 33. Fernandez D. 19. Flores J. 17. Maciel M. 8. Moreno A. 16. Pablo Melgar 14. Parada J. 22. Tellez M.	21. Aponte M. 13. Bernal J. (G) 4. Bonilla M. 29. Escobar J. 44. Lopez F. 18. Mamani B. 19. Perez F. 42. Roca D. 23. Rojas J. 33. Saucedo C. 27. Sosa Loppacher F. 35. Vaca J.
Coaches
Eguez L.	Florentin G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Mizael Monteiro ⚽, Lovera J. (A),
21', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
35', Gil S. 🟨,
45+3', Flores J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gil S. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
46', Chavez T. ↓, Pablo Melgar ↑,
49', Barro J. 🟨,
59', Abrego V. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
62', Velasco M. 🟨,
72', Anez C. 🟥,
73', Lovera J. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
73', Siles O. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
75', Rafinha ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
77', Torrez Suarez A. W. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Maciel M. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Flores J. ↓, Saucedo C. ↑,
90+4', Peredo G. 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 7th and 5th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Oriente Petrolero could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guabirá holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guabirá has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:36 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guabirá against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:15 goals (averaging 1.6:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	11	4	8	40:29	11	37
8	Guabira	23	8	6	9	34:47	-13	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.10.26	GVCD San José - Guabirá	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
07.10.26	Guabirá - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	The Strongest - Guabirá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL
- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.10.26	Oriente Petrolero - ABB	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
07.10.26	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Vinto	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
04.10.26	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	2:1
08.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	1:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.26	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	2:2
03.11.25	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	4:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
16.07.25	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	2:1
25.06.25	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	3:3
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.05.25	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	1:3

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