Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Guaireña		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.6
	2.2	3.2	3.2
	2.14	3.3	3.2
	2.09	3.1	3.3
	2.19	3.28	3.52
	2.1	3	3.4	Watch
	2.12	3.32	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
43.3%

Draw
29%

9 de Octubre
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Guaireña - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guaireña will win (votes: 3 - 30%). 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Guaireña is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

9 de Octubre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guaireña could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Guaireña have a series of guest games.

Guaireña will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.04.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
20.04.22	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	3:1 ✺
17.04.22	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Internacional RS - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.04.22	Tacuary - Guaireña	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWTW
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.04.22	Deportivo Cuenca - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Emelec - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Independiente Medellín - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.04.22	9 de Octubre - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.22	9 de Octubre - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLLT

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