Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 2

Date: 17 July 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Parque del Guairá (Villarrica)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)


	Guaireña		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.3
	2.87	3	2.25
	3	2.9	2.3
	3.38	3	2.47
	3.1	2.88	2.35
	3.13	2.99	2.38
	3	3.1	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.79)	2.98 ↓ (3.22)	2.34 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
29.9%

Draw
30.8%

Sportivo Luqueño
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	56.2%	31.2%

Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Guaireña will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Finochietto L. (G) 3. Castellano T. 6. Paniagua M. (C) 11. Martinez A. 8. Valdez D. 18. Acosta M. 23. Caceres E. 24. Aguilar J. 37. Comas L. 26. Vazquez O. 7. Parzajuk K.	1. Falcon G. (G) 16. Duarte E. 22. Nunez J. 23. Aguilar P. (C) 6. Jimenez J. 8. Mendoza J. 18. Rojas R. 2. Ferreira R. 11. Fretes S. 19. Perez M. 20. Barrios L.
Substitutes
38. Cazal I. 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 19. Godoy D. 17. Gonzalez Gonzalez E. D. 5. Gonzalez J. 12. Servin C. (G) 9. Verdun J.	7. Alegre D. 27. Baez J. 30. Castro M. 9. Charpentier P. 13. Fleitas Silvero V. A. (G) 24. Ledesma A. 21. Ruiz Diaz Ferreira S. E.
Coaches
Theiler L.	Caceres J. C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 2.

Recent matches Guaireña is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportivo Luqueño is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaireña won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.07.23	Cerro Porteño - Guaireña	1:3 ✺
09.06.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
04.06.23	Resistencia - Guaireña	0:2 ✺
29.05.23	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2 ✺
22.05.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WLWTT
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.07.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
09.06.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
02.06.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:2 ✺
30.05.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Luqueño	3:1 ✺
22.05.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
09.06.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2
08.04.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaireña	0:0
04.12.21	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaireña	0:1
19.09.21	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2
03.04.21	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0
05.02.21	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaireña	3:1
11.12.20	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0

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