Match Info

League Two - Relegation Group - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium (Guangzhou) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:30	Migu


	Guangdong Mingtu		Changchun Xidu

	1	X	2
	1.90	2.95	3.90
	1.85	3.15	3.85
	1.97	2.81	4.69
	2.01	2.86	4.18	Watch
	1.94	2.65	4.60
	1.98	3.10	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	2.92 ↓ (3.15)	4.23 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Mingtu
47.1%

Draw
31.3%

Changchun Xidu
21.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.4%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Mingtu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Guangdong Mingtu - Changchun Xidu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Li C. (G) 22. Fang H. 21. Liu Shuai 36. Tan Zhennan 52. Zhong W. 8. Tian Li 16. Cai M. (C) 17. Wang Tanyou 7. Gu Zhiwei 43. Zhu Xinyu 42. He J.	17. Hu H. (G) 3. Yangyang Ma 58. Kadir Aysan 5. Yang Lei 15. Geng Xianglong 8. Yu Z. 10. Huang Wenzhuo (C) 11. Sun Fei 2. Wang Song 29. Memet Nuryasin 45. Yang Jingfan
Substitutes
12. Chen Rijin 6. Huang Guangliang 5. Jiang Yixiang 45. Li J. (G) 59. Li K. 41. Li T. 50. Wu Z. 11. Xin Hongjun 46. Yang Zhengyi 51. Yao H. 19. Ye Zimin 28. Zhang Zhihao	44. Chen Quanjiang 49. Feng Zijun 14. He Youzu 39. Liang Huan 24. Liu Jiahao 6. Liu Yang 21. Wang H. 22. Yang Xinyang (G) 23. Ye-Yang Runyi 18. Zhong Weihong
Coaches
Sanabria A.	Li Bin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Huang Wenzhuo 🟨,
17', He J. 🟨,
20', Yang Jingfan 🟨,
29', Gu Zhiwei 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yang Jingfan ↓, Liang Huan ↑,
65', Fang H. ↓, Chen Rijin ↑,
65', He J. ↓, Xin Hongjun ↑,
65', Zhong W. ↓, Wu Z. ↑,
66', Yu Z. 🟨,
71', Geng Xianglong 🟨,
73', Liang Huan ↓, He Youzu ↑,
74', Wang Song 🟨,
79', Tian Li 🟨,
80', Yu Z. ↓, Liu Yang ↑,
84', Wang Tanyou ↓, Yang Zhengyi ↑,
84', Zhu Xinyu ↓, Huang Guangliang ↑,
90', He Youzu 🟨,
90+1', Kadir Aysan ↓, Wang H. ↑,
90+1', Wang Song ↓, Feng Zijun ↑,

Preview

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Guangdong Mingtu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Guangdong Mingtu carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Guangdong Mingtu has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
17.10.26	Shanghai Second - Guangdong Mingtu	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Dalian Yingbo B	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Changchun Xidu - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Shanghai Second	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTTW
- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
18.10.26	Changchun Xidu - Hubei Istar	1:0 ✺
12.10.26	Wenzhou Professional - Changchun Xidu	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Changchun Xidu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Changchun Xidu - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hubei Istar - Changchun Xidu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
18.09.26	Changchun Xidu - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0

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