Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Guaraní Asuncion		Atlético Tembetary

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	7	Watch
	1.52	3.7	5.25
	1.5	3.95	5.7	Watch
	1.53	4.26	5.86
	4.71	2.11	2.61	Watch
	1.54	3.61	7.02	Watch
	1.53	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)	3.6 ↑ (3.12)	5.61 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
52.5%

Draw
28.9%

Atlético Tembetary
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

30%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Guaraní (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Perez A. (G) 2. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 3. Barbotte A. 4. Zaracho S. 15. Servin T. 32. Jhon Sanchez 7. Manzur A. 36. Martinez L. 11. Rodriguez D. 40. Fernandez F. (C) 17. Torales R.	1. Canteros T. (G) 22. Barrios V. 5. Marotta N. 17. Alonso W. 3. Olmedo S. 18. Rojas R. (C) 6. Colman D. 10. Candia W. 14. Esteche J. F. 37. Pereira B. 11. Charpentier P.
Substitutes
39. Alvarenga J. 31. Arzamendia M. (G) 19. Ayala L. 13. Cabanas V. 38. Coronel P. 26. Fernandez D. 33. Maciel A. 8. Maiz A. 6. Marecos G. 24. Patino Martinez J. 35. Pereira A. 37. Perez D.	26. Adorno P. 12. Chena J. (G) 30. Cristaldo A. 39. Duarte J. 38. Favero C. 13. Izquierdo R. 36. Maidana E. (G) 24. Ortiz I. 7. Perez E. 27. Rios R. 25. Silva C. 40. Zarate D.
Coaches
Bernay V.	Escobar L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Torales R. 🟥,
16', Olmedo S. 🟨,
45+5', Colman D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pereira B. ↓, Zarate D. ↑,
46', Colman D. ↓, Cristaldo A. ↑,
47', Cristaldo A. 🟨,
53', Alonso W. 🟨,
64', Martinez L. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
64', Fernandez F. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
66', Esteche J. F. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
66', Candia W. ↓, Ortiz I. ↑,
71', Cristaldo A. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
72', Toledo J. 🟨,
82', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
82', Servin T. ↓, Coronel P. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 0, Fernandez D. ⚽, Barbotte A. (A),
90+8', Fernandez D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 and 12).

Guaraní is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tembetary is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Guaraní has had a series of away games.

In this match, Guaraní is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
01.10.25	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.09.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWLW
- Atlético Tembetary
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.09.25	Atlético Tembetary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
24.09.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	2:3 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.09.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	3:1 ✺
17.09.25	Cerro Porteño - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Ameliano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
27.07.25	Atlético Tembetary - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
21.05.25	Atlético Tembetary - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2
14.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	0:0
Copa Paraguay
10.11.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	3:2

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