Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guaraní Asuncion		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.25
	1.72	3.15	4.7
	1.75	3.05	5.2
	1.8	3.19	5.79
	1.8	3.2	4.8
	1.81	3.28	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)	4.93 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
52.1%

Draw
29.2%

Brasil de Pelotas
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

29.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

24.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guaraní Asuncion - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guaraní is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
05.09.20	Operário Ferroviario - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
31.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
05.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
02.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
30.08.20	Operário Ferroviario - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.08.20	Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.08.20	CRB Maceio - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.09.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
28.05.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2
17.11.18	Brasil de Pelotas - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1
28.07.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1
11.08.17	Brasil de Pelotas - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
12.05.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
19.09.15	Brasil de Pelotas - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
01.11.26	Passo Fundo - Brasil de Pelotas	✺

Guaraní Asuncion - Brasil de Pelotas