Match Info

Date: 6 November 2020, Friday


	Guaraní Asuncion		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.35	2.7	3.2
	2.28	2.65	3.4
	2.5	2.65	3.2
	2.62	2.76	3.46
	2.5	2.62	3.3
	2.54	2.82	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.3)	2.71 ↓ (3.06)	3.27 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
37.7%

Draw
34%

CS Alagoano
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

21%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CS Alagoano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guaraní Asuncion - CS Alagoano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 7).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSA is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
01.11.20	Juventude - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
26.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Avaí	2:1 ✺
22.10.20	Vitória Salvador - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTWT
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.20	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
27.10.20	Chapecoense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
23.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
20.10.20	CS Alagoano - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
13.10.20	Avaí - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.09.18	Guaraní Asuncion - CS Alagoano	1:0
05.06.18	CS Alagoano - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2

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