Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Guaraní Asuncion		Juventud de Las Piedras

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.8
	1.78	3.35	4.45	Watch
	1.81	3.45	4.92
	1.83	3.45	4.62
	1.8	3.2	4.5
	1.82	3.46	4.92	Watch
	1.7	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.81)	3.43 ↓ (3.46)	4.71 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
52.8%

Draw
27.3%

Juventud de Las Piedras
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Guaraní Asuncion - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Juventud (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Guaraní (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 3 - 75%). Juventud (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Servio G. (C) 37. Perez D. 2. Segovia I. 4. Zaracho S. 20. Maidana A. 5. Tanda P. 26. Fernandez D. 36. Martinez L. 8. Lopez M. 10. Rodriguez D. 17. Torales R.	1. Sosa S. (C) 24. Barrandeguy F. 5. Morosini D. 2. Pernicone P. 23. Mas E. 14. Roldan L. 22. Chagas R. 11. Lago P. 7. Alaniz A. 20. Sanchez R. 10. Larregui B.
Substitutes
31. Arzamendia M. (G) 3. Barbotte A. 13. Dominguez Garcete A. A. 40. Fernandez F. 27. Gomez M. 11. Jhon Sanchez 29. Llano J. 7. Manzur A. 18. Mino Amarilla C. E. 9. Ramirez I. 19. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 15. Servin T.	27. Boselli J. 4. Caceres M. 15. Cruz A. 30. Gomez G. 8. Izaguirre M. 80. Mimbacas F. 37. Peralta R. 21. Perez F. 16. Rabino R. 28. Risso F. 12. Rossi N. (G) 33. Ruotola N. (G)
Coaches
Bernay V.	Mendez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Pernicone P. ↓, Caceres M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Zaracho S. 🟥,
50', 0 - 1, Barrandeguy F. ⚽,
52', Tanda P. 🟨,
52', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
52', Lago P. 🟨,
54', Martinez L. ↓, Servin T. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Servio G. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Segovia I. 🟨,
61', Sanchez R. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
66', Roldan L. 🟨,
75', Roldan L. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
75', Lago P. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
81', Torales R. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
87', Rodriguez D. ↓, Manzur A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Peralta R. ⚽,
90+6', Peralta R. 🟨,
90+7', Lago P. 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juventud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guaraní is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.02.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.02.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWTW
- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Central Español	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.02.26	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.02.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:5 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
19.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0

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