Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Olmos A. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.55	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.68	3	2.58
	2.97	3.11	2.59
	2.68	3.08	2.73
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.84	3.05	2.56	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.2)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.64 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
34%

Draw
30.8%

Cerro Largo
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud de Las Piedras's form might have worsened.

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerro Largo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro Largo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cerro Largo (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (C) 18. Rodriguez M. 4. Caceres M. 3. Prado A. 16. Rabino R. 22. Chagas R. 8. Izaguirre M. 11. Lago P. 37. Peralta R. 15. Cruz A. 80. Mimbacas F.	1. Moreno J. (G) 4. Souza F. 14. Correa L. 3. Piegas A. 6. Monserrat M. 17. Hernandez A. 15. Assis S. (C) 25. Jourdan E. 30. Hernandez B. 19. Sellecchia F. 9. Correa T.
Substitutes
7. Alaniz A. 27. Boselli J. 90. Guerrero S. 10. Larregui B. 25. Mujica I. 6. Perez A. 14. Roldan L. 33. Ruotola N. (G)	27. Alvez F. 11. Anasco M. 18. Daguerre D. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 7. Viera G.
Coaches
Mendez S.	Nunez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Izaguirre M. 🟨,
21', Hernandez B. 🟨,
25', Piegas A. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
26', 0 - 1, Correa T. ⚽,
35', Ramos N. 🟨,
37', Monserrat M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramos N. ↓, Chocobar G. F. ↑,
47', Lago P. 🟨,
56', Correa L. 🟨,
59', Mimbacas F. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
61', Hernandez B. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
61', Monserrat M. ↓, Franca S. ↑,
71', Rodriguez M. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
72', Sellecchia F. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
78', Jourdan E. 🟨,
84', Lago P. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
85', Correa T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2.

Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Juventud might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventud	9	3	5	1	10:6	4	14
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Copa Libertadores
05.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
18.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWTW
- Cerro Largo
Serie Rio de la Plata
20.01.26	Cerro Largo - Deportes Concepción	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
17.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1 penalties ✺
14.01.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Largo	2:3 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
12.01.26	Cerro Largo - Atlético Tucumán	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.11.25	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
02.08.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro Largo	0:2
31.01.25	Cerro Largo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1
16.10.19	Cerro Largo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:0
24.03.19	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro Largo	1:0
11.05.14	Cerro Largo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:3
08.12.13	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro Largo	1:3
28.04.13	Cerro Largo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:3

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