Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)


	Guaraní Asuncion		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.5
	1.81	3.65	3.65
	1.99	3.74	3.78
	1.85	3.2	3.6
	1.93	3.6	3.6
	2	3.45	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)	3.61 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
48.1%

Draw
26.2%

Resistencia
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Guaraní Asuncion - Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munoz R. (C) 2. Raul Caceres 3. Moya J. 33. Riveros P. 24. Salomoni F. 5. Gil Romero G. 8. Moreira E. 23. Prieto R. 10. Benitez B. 7. Camacho N. 31. Barcelo F.	23. Rhuan (G) 16. Moreira J. 3. Ruan 4. Brizuela O. (C) 26. Adorno P. 5. Quinonez A. 6. Candia W. 11. Lezcano H. 32. Colman J. 9. Ruiz Diaz R. 39. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
38. Diaz B. 21. Gallardo D. 36. Martinez L. 35. Pereira A. 20. Rios R. D. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 27. Roman Torales F. J.	27. Acosta M. 18. Aguilera Colman D. A. 8. Araujo J. 1. Arzamendia M. (G) 24. Enciso R. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 7. Salinas R.
Coaches
de Muner P.	Recalde C.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Guaraní could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.08.23	General Caballero JLM - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	0:3 ✺
12.08.23	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.08.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLTL
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.08.23	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
21.08.23	Tacuary - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Resistencia - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Resistencia	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
28.04.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Resistencia	1:0
17.02.23	Resistencia - Guaraní Asuncion	0:4
03.10.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Resistencia	0:1
25.07.22	Resistencia - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
11.05.22	Resistencia - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2
26.02.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Resistencia	3:3

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