The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guaraní Asuncion 50.9%
Draw 26%
San Lorenzo 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
25.4%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
15.1%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
20%
30%
Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 15 - 50%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 32.1% – 67.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).
Two teams are playing changeable.
San Lorenzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Guaraní is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
Watch
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