Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 38

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV 2, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Guarani		Ceará

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.42	Watch
	7.25	4.2	1.4
	7.5	4.5	1.4
	8.1	4.67	1.41
	8.04	4.4	1.4	Watch
	8.5	4.33	1.36
	8.6	4.45	1.38
	7.5	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.81 ↑ (7.42)	4.44 ↑ (4.27)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
12%

Draw
21%

Ceará
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

22%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

21.5%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Guarani - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: Ceará will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Conte F. (G) 29. Yan Henrique 13. Matheus Salustiano (C) 12. Lucas Adell 17. Jefferson 18. Matheus Bueno 5. Anderson Leite 33. Gabriel Bispo 2. Heitor 10. Luan Dias 99. Caio Dantas	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 6. Ramos R. 3. Joao Pedro 4. David Ricardo 79. Matheus Bahia 97. Lourenco (C) 26. Richardson 10. Lucas Mugni 11. Aylon 16. Erick Pulga 77. Lucas Rian
Substitutes
22. Alvaro (G) 23. Douglas Bacelar 6. Emerson 43. Freitas 21. Lucas Araujo 8. Marlon Douglas 3. Matheus Mancini 28. Pacheco 30. Pedro Henrique 47. Pierre 26. Porfirio L.	98. Andrey 31. Barcelo F. 8. De Lucca 14. Eric 5. Jean Irmer 23. Luiz Daniel (G) 42. Matheus Felipe 12. Maycon Cleiton (G) 2. Rai Ramos 40. Ramon Menezes 28. Recalde J. 70. Talisson
Coaches
Aal A.	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Anderson Leite ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
46', Lourenco ↓, De Lucca ↑,
55', Luan Dias 🟨,
55', 🟨,
70', Lucas Mugni ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
72', Heitor 🟨,
74', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
78', Lucas Rian ↓, Talisson ↑,
83', Yan Henrique ↓, Pacheco ↑,
84', Heitor ↓, Porfirio L. ↑,
90+3', Aylon ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
90+5', Luan Dias ↓, Pierre ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Guarani is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )

Guarani has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ceará is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ceará is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guarani won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
17.11.24	Brusque - Guarani	2:1 ✺
12.11.24	Guarani - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Goiás - Guarani	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Sport Recife - Guarani	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
18.11.24	Ceará - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
12.11.24	Botafogo SP - Ceará	1:4 ✺
03.11.24	Ceará - Avaí	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Ceará - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Santos - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.08.24	Ceará - Guarani	3:1
02.08.23	Guarani - Ceará	0:0
22.04.23	Ceará - Guarani	0:3

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