Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 9

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)


	Guarani		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.37	2.9	3
	2.35	2.95	3.25
	2.44	2.88	3.53
	2.42	2.87	3.51
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.27	3.06	3.31
	2.36	2.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.49)	2.95 ↓ (3.08)	3.31 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
39.9%

Draw
31.8%

Operário Ferroviario
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.1%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.3%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	46.2%	23.1%

Guarani - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Vladimir (G) 15. Pedro Henrique 3. Leo Santos 12. Lucas Adell 19. Joao Victor 5. Anderson Leite 18. Matheus Bueno 40. Bruno Oliveira 17. Jefferson 8. Marlon Douglas 7. Luccas Paraizo	1. Rafael Santos (C) 2. Ocampos S. 3. Allan Godoi 4. Willian Machado 6. Para 8. Vinicius Diniz 30. Joseph 70. Pedro Lucas 7. Rodrigo Farofa 90. Ronaldo 77. Maxwell
Substitutes
30. Airton 99. Caio Dantas 14. Camacho 13. Diogo Mateus 31. Douglas Borges (G) 6. Kayque 21. Lucas Araujo 16. Manoel P. 26. Rafael Freitas 20. Reinaldo 25. Witinho 29. Yan Henrique	10. Cassio Gabriel 17. Erik Bessa 21. Fagner Alemao 9. Felipe Garcia 91. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 18. Gui Azevedo 13. Lucas Hipolito 20. Marco Antonio 88. Neto Paraiba 31. Ronald
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Allan Godoi ↓, Fagner Alemao ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Maxwell ⚽,
43', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luccas Paraizo ↓, Airton ↑,
46', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
46', Pedro Henrique ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
47', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
50', Jefferson ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
53', Neto Paraiba 🟨,
67', Daniel Lima ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
67', Marlon Douglas ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
68', Airton 🟨,
79', Maxwell ↓, Ronald ↑,
79', Pedro Lucas ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
79', Anderson Leite ↓, Kayque ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', Reinaldo 🟨,
85', Neto Paraiba 🟨,
90+2', Leo Santos 🟥,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 10).

Guarani is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Operário Ferroviario is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guarani will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Operário Ferroviario: Rafhael Lucas (Injury) Rodriguinho (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Guarani won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
04.06.24	Mirassol - Guarani	3:0 ✺
25.05.24	Guarani - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
20.05.24	Guarani - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
14.05.24	Coritiba - Guarani	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Guarani - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLLW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
03.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
27.05.24	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Operário Ferroviario - Ceará	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Operário Ferroviario - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.09.22	Operário Ferroviario - Guarani	0:1
06.06.22	Guarani - Operário Ferroviario	0:3
24.08.21	Guarani - Operário Ferroviario	3:0
01.06.21	Operário Ferroviario - Guarani	2:5

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