Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 9

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Batalha M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Nosso Futebol+, UOL Play, Zapping
Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	Fanatiz


	São Paulo		Velo Clube

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4	6.6
	1.43	4.34	8.17
	1.44	4.16	7.69	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.4	4.3	7.41
	1.43	4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.23)	4.14 ↓ (5.35)	7.28 ↓ (12.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
65%

Draw
22.3%

Velo Clube
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.2%

17.3%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.

Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Velo Clube's recent form is better than expected.

São Paulo - Velo Clube Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 6. Cedric 5. Robert Arboleda 28. Franco A. 13. Diaz E. 25. Alisson 29. Pablo Maia 7. Lucas Moura 10. Luciano 8. Oscar 9. Jonathan Calleri	1. Pablo (G) 3. Rafael Ribeiro 5. Julio Vaz 4. Mancha 2. Carlos Manuel 7. Pedro Favela 8. Leo Baiano (C) 6. Leo Campos 10. Sillas 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Daniel Amorim
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 21. Bobadilla D. 33. Erick 32. Ferraresi N. 37. Henrique Carmo 2. Igor Vinicius 20. Marcos Antonio 36. Patryck 23. Rafael (G) 22. Ruan Tressoldi 49. Ryan Francisco 35. Sabino	22. Caio Bolonhin (G) 19. Cauari 12. Dalton (G) 14. Fabio H. 13. Itambe 18. Lucas Duni 17. Pedro Cacho 15. Pedro H. 16. Rennan Siqueira 20. Vinicius Leite
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Guilherme Alves

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', Diaz E. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Luciano ⚽, Diaz E. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Sillas ⚽, Leo Campos (A),
44', 2 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Jonathan Calleri (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
46', Diaz E. ↓, Patryck ↑,
59', Julio Vaz ↓, Pedro Cacho ↑,
73', Pablo Maia ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Daniel Amorim ⚽, Pedro Favela (A),
75', Rafael Ribeiro 🟨,
79', Sillas ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
84', 3 - 2, Andre Silva ⚽, Patryck (A),
85', Pedro Favela ↓, Lucas Duni ↑,
89', Cedric ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
89', Luciano ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, Jefferson Nem ⚽, Mancha (A),

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Velo Clube could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.02.25	São Paulo - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	São Paulo - Mirassol	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Santos - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Portuguesa - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLW
- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.25	Botafogo SP - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Velo Clube - Portuguesa	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Velo Clube - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Velo Clube - Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTLTW

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