Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Antônio Magalhães Rossel (Bagé)


	Guarany de Bagé		Juventude

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.11	2.88	2.29
	3.11	2.89	2.29
	3.19	3.16	2.23
	3.4	3.15	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.68)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.16 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guarany de Bagé
27.9%

Draw
29.8%

Juventude
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

29.3%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

26.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1%)

Guarany de Bagé - Juventude Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodrigo Mama (G) 15. Allan 5. David Cunha 16. Ferreira Macario Dias J. G. 2. Lessa 11. Marcos Antonio 18. Mauri 3. Micael (C) 9. Michel 4. Saulo 21. Wilson Junior	1. Gabriel (G) 28. Alan Ruschel (C) 95. Caique Goncalves 4. Danilo Boza 17. Edson Carioca 9. Gilberto 16. Jadson 20. Jean Carlos 2. Joao Lucas 21. Lucas Barbosa 3. Ze Marcos
Substitutes
8. Arez 7. Giovanni 6. Gustavo Nogy 22. Gustavo Silva (G) 20. Joao Pedro 23. Jorginho 13. Leo 17. Lucas Kawan 19. Mateuzinho 10. Murilo Xavier 14. Oliveira Januario H.	36. Da Rocha 15. Kelvi Gomes 75. Kleiton 43. Lucas Freitas 99. Lucas Wingert (G) 5. Luis Oyama 77. Mateus Claus (G) 10. Nene 35. Rafael Pinna 37. Rildo 34. Rodrigo Sam 29. Ruan
Coaches
Cirilo de Campos W.	Roger Machado

Preview

Guarany de Bagé is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Juventude is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juventude could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Juventude will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.03.24	Grêmio - Guarany de Bagé	4:1 ✺
24.02.24	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	Avenida - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
14.02.24	Guarany de Bagé - Novo Hamburgo	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWWT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.03.24	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.02.24	Iguatu - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	Juventude - Caxias	1:1 ✺
13.02.24	São Luiz - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.01.24	Juventude - Guarany de Bagé	4:0
06.03.22	Juventude - Guarany de Bagé	2:0

Upcoming Matches