Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Guaraní Asuncion		Danubio

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.08	3.2	3.65
	2.25	3.19	3.49
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.15	3.26	3.46	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.93)	3.19 ↓ (3.39)	3.45 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
43.5%

Draw
29.4%

Danubio
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Guaraní Asuncion - Danubio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Danubio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.04.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
13.04.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:0 ✺
10.04.23	Guaraní Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Guaraní Asuncion	4:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.03.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWLW
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.04.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	Danubio - Emelec	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.03.23	River Plate Montevideo - Danubio	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWLW

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