The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Libertad Asuncion 65.5%
Draw 20.4%
Universidad Central 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.2%
18.9%
11.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.8%
19.1%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Libertad Asuncion - Universidad Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Rojas V. (G) 2. Ramirez I. 5. Viera D. 4. Gimenez N. 17. Espinoza Acosta M. D. 21. Sanabria L. 33. Martinez C. 18. Franco I. 8. Carrizo F. 14. Fretes A. 10. Melgarejo L. (C)
1. Morales L. (G) 2. Silva K. 4. Velasquez W. 5. Martinez L. (C) 27. Carrillo D. 30. Gonzalez A. 6. Sole F. 8. Zapata J. 17. Rodriguez V. 7. Cuesta J. 16. De Sousa D.
Substitutes
15. Benitez A. 26. Caballero H. 32. Delvalle S. 38. Diaz E. 28. Fernandez M. 25. Gonzalez A. (G) 27. Molinas A. 19. Recalde J. 34. Villalba E. 23. Villalba P. 24. Villalba R.
57. Cermeno C. 24. Cumana Y. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 14. Mendoza K. 9. Murillo Y. 21. Ortiz C. 28. Ruiz M. 13. Schiavone G. (G) 19. Simarra A.
Coaches
Samudio J.
Sasso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Franco I. ↓, Villalba E. ↑,
61', Carrizo F. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Cuesta J. ⚽, De Sousa D. (A),
66', Silva K. 🟨,
70', Ramirez I. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
70', Sanabria L. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
76', Sole F. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
78', Fretes A. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
79', Morales L. 🟨,
81', Silva K. ↓, Cermeno C. ↑,
90+3', Cuesta J. ↓, Simarra A. ↑,
90+3', De Sousa D. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
90+4', Velasquez W. 🟨,
Preview
Universidad Central is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Recent form of Libertad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Universidad Central has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Libertad has had a series of away games.
In this match, Libertad is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Libertad: Aguilar G.
(Yellow Cards)
Duarte A.
(Knee Injury)
Fernandez H.
(Knee Injury)
Ramirez I.
(Inactive)
Rojas M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Universidad Central: Bolivar J.
(Yellow Cards)
Hernandez Y.
(Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.