Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	08:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	18:00	ESPN 2, ESPN 7
Brazil	19:00	Disney+
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect
Chile	18:00	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	17:00	ESPN 2, ESPN 7
Italy	00:00	Como TV
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
New Zealand	10:00	beIN Connect
Paraguay	18:00	ESPN 2
Peru	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 7, Inter


	Libertad Asuncion		Universidad Central

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.37	5	7.5
	1.46	4.25	6.4	Watch
	1.45	4.51	6.51
	1.41	4.77	7.07	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.46	4.68	6.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)	4.59 ↓ (4.96)	6.67 ↓ (7.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
65.5%

Draw
20.4%

Universidad Central
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.9%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

18.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Libertad Asuncion - Universidad Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Rojas V. (G) 2. Ramirez I. 5. Viera D. 4. Gimenez N. 17. Espinoza Acosta M. D. 21. Sanabria L. 33. Martinez C. 18. Franco I. 8. Carrizo F. 14. Fretes A. 10. Melgarejo L. (C)	1. Morales L. (G) 2. Silva K. 4. Velasquez W. 5. Martinez L. (C) 27. Carrillo D. 30. Gonzalez A. 6. Sole F. 8. Zapata J. 17. Rodriguez V. 7. Cuesta J. 16. De Sousa D.
Substitutes
15. Benitez A. 26. Caballero H. 32. Delvalle S. 38. Diaz E. 28. Fernandez M. 25. Gonzalez A. (G) 27. Molinas A. 19. Recalde J. 34. Villalba E. 23. Villalba P. 24. Villalba R.	57. Cermeno C. 24. Cumana Y. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 14. Mendoza K. 9. Murillo Y. 21. Ortiz C. 28. Ruiz M. 13. Schiavone G. (G) 19. Simarra A.
Coaches
Samudio J.	Sasso D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Franco I. ↓, Villalba E. ↑,
61', Carrizo F. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Cuesta J. ⚽, De Sousa D. (A),
66', Silva K. 🟨,
70', Ramirez I. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
70', Sanabria L. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
76', Sole F. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
78', Fretes A. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
79', Morales L. 🟨,
81', Silva K. ↓, Cermeno C. ↑,
90+3', Cuesta J. ↓, Simarra A. ↑,
90+3', De Sousa D. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
90+4', Velasquez W. 🟨,

Preview

Universidad Central is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Recent form of Libertad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Universidad Central has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Libertad has had a series of away games.

In this match, Libertad is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Libertad: Aguilar G. (Yellow Cards) Duarte A. (Knee Injury) Fernandez H. (Knee Injury) Ramirez I. (Inactive) Rojas M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Universidad Central: Bolivar J. (Yellow Cards) Hernandez Y. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.26	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Independiente del Valle - Libertad Asuncion	4:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.26	Rosario Central - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWL
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.05.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Universidad Central	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Rosario Central - Universidad Central	4:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.05.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
12.05.26	Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Universidad Central - Academia Puerto Cabello	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Universidad Central - Libertad Asuncion	3:1

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