Match Info

Date: 29 September 2020, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Guaraní Asuncion		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.8	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	2	2.95	3.65
	1.98	3.1	3.75
	2.06	3.34	4
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.01	3.28	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.01)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	3.77 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
46.3%

Draw
29.2%

Sampaio Corrêa
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.8%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

23.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.2%	29.4%	32.4%

Guaraní Asuncion - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 21.9% – 54.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.09.20	Club General Díaz - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.09.20	Figueirense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.20	Confiança - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTTL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
26.09.20	Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2 ✺
23.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
20.09.20	Avaí - Sampaio Corrêa	2:5 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
16.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa - SE Juventude	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.08.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2
21.04.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺

Guaraní Asuncion - Sampaio Corrêa