Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Guaraní Asuncion		Universidad de Chile

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.95	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.55
	3.55	3.55	1.92	Watch
	4	3.5	1.98
	4.16	3.33	1.89	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.5	Watch
	3.88	3.38	1.97	Watch
	2.35	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.35)	3.36 ↑ (3)	2.23 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
28.4%

Draw
28.6%

Universidad de Chile
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.8%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.

Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Guaraní Asuncion - Universidad de Chile Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Perez A. (G) 3. Barbotte A. 14. Riveros P. 15. Servin T. 24. Patino Martinez J. 36. Martinez L. 16. Cespedes V. 7. Manzur A. 17. Torales R. 10. Mendieta W. (C) 18. Mino Amarilla C. E.	25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 15. Salomoni F. 10. Assadi L. 21. Diaz M. (C) 20. Aranguiz C. 19. Altamirano J. 18. Di Yorio L. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G.
Substitutes
29. Alfonso O. 2. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 26. Fernandez D. 40. Fernandez F. 22. Gomez L. 33. Maciel A. 20. Maidana A. 6. Marecos G. 9. Ramirez I. 11. Rodriguez D. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 27. Roman Torales F. J.	28. Arce A. 27. Contreras R. 6. Fernandez N. 12. Garrido P. (G) 11. Guerra N. 30. Montes G. 34. Moya F. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 13. Retamal D. 16. Sepulveda M. 3. Tapia I. 1. Toselli C. (G)
Coaches
Bernay V.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Assadi L. ⚽, Di Yorio L. (A),
33', Aranguiz C. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
34', Patino Martinez J. ↓, Roman Torales F. J. ↑,
40', Riveros P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Altamirano J. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
46', Hormazabal F. ↓, Retamal D. ↑,
46', Mendieta W. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
46', Riveros P. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
55', Assadi L. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
62', Cespedes V. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
69', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Torales R. ⚽, Benitez Cabrera A. J. (A),
85', Manzur A. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Torales R. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 0-5. 2nd leg.

Guaraní is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Universidad de Chile is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.07.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.07.25	Universidad de Chile - Guaraní Asuncion	5:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.07.25	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWL
- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
20.07.25	Ñublense - Universidad de Chile	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.07.25	Universidad de Chile - Guaraní Asuncion	5:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
12.07.25	Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Unión Española - Universidad de Chile	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Iquique	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
17.07.25	Universidad de Chile - Guaraní Asuncion	5:0
Copa Libertadores
06.02.14	Guaraní Asuncion - Universidad de Chile	2:3
30.01.14	Universidad de Chile - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0

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