Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 11

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)

Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Guayaquil City		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2	3.05	3.8
	2.04	3.21	4.19
	2.16	3.1	3.6	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.8
	1.99	3.17	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.17)	3.09 ↑ (3.07)	3.88 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
46.2%

Draw
29.9%

Técnico Universitario
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

30.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Guayaquil City - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Napa G. (G) 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. (C) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 14. Arroyo D. 20. Laurino S. 70. Mancilla P. 80. Gonzalez P. 10. Diaz D. 11. Mero E.	1. Razzeto S. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 5. Cagua M. 85. Arce Y. 27. Copete A. 28. Perea M. 10. Johan Bocanegra 33. Majao J. 30. Arce K. (C) 8. Chaves M. 17. Montes J.
Substitutes
21. Andrade J. M. 51. Cabezas E. 8. Humanante J. 5. Julio M. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 19. Naula A. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 24. Plada G. 15. Sambonino K. 28. Vivar J.	11. Arteaga C. 16. Caicedo J. 90. Caicedo W. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 53. Chilla R. 25. Delgado B. 9. Fernandez L. 77. Garcia C. 12. Morales A. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
Coaches
Gavilanez P.	Usucar F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Cagua M. 🟨,
36', Arroyo D. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 0, Quinonez J. ⚽, Mancilla P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Arce K. 🟨,
59', Laurino S. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
60', Chaves M. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
73', Montes J. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
73', Arce K. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
80', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
80', Diaz D. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
80', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
83', Napa G. 🟨,
85', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Arteaga C. ↑,
85', Perea M. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
90+2', Cabezas E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2.

Guayaquil City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Técnico Univ has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guayaquil City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Técnico Universitario - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.59%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.04.26	Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Emelec - Guayaquil City	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	4:1 ✺
23.03.26	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWLT
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.04.26	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.11.23	Guayaquil City - Técnico Universitario	1:0
04.06.23	Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City	3:0
14.08.22	Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City	3:1
03.04.22	Guayaquil City - Técnico Universitario	0:1
29.08.21	Guayaquil City - Técnico Universitario	1:0
04.04.21	Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City	3:0
16.12.20	Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City	0:0

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