Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 26

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Guidonia Montecelio		Bra

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.15	3.95
	1.87	3.16	4.7
	1.92	3.15	4.03	Watch
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.93	3.34	3.98	Watch
	1.81	3.14	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.17)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)	4.22 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
49%

Draw
29.2%

Bra
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guidonia Montecelio's performance.

Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guidonia Montecelio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Guidonia Montecelio - Bra Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Guidonia will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Bra will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guidonia: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Guidonia (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guidonia Montecelio will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Guidonia (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Avella M. (G) 13. Mule E. 5. Cristini A. 2. Esempio S. 77. Zappella D. 99. Tessiore A. 33. Tascone S. 24. Russo L. 8. Errico A. 32. Zuppel D. 10. Spavone A.	1. Franzini D. (G) 17. Fiordaliso A. 31. De Santis E. (C) 6. Sganzerla R. 29. Maressa T. 27. Campedelli R. 14. Lionetti G. 20. Milani L. 76. Capac A. 92. Baldini E. 11. Sinani I.
Substitutes
50. D'Isanto 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 3. Frascatore P. 11. Marchioro R. 21. Mastrantonio V. 7. Sannipoli D. 14. Santoro S. 23. Starita E. 1. Stellato G. (G) 27. Viteritti O. 66. Vitturini D.	16. Armstrong D. 77. Brambilla A. 25. Corsi L. 28. Dimatteo S. 47. La Marca M. 37. Leoncini M. 2. Lia D. 12. Menicucci D. (G) 5. Pretato M. 36. Rabuffi M. 22. Renzetti D. (G) 3. Rottensteiner B. 19. Scapin T. 8. Tuzza S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Tessiore A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Baldini E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Campedelli R. ↓, Brambilla A. ↑,
46', Capac A. ↓, La Marca M. ↑,
51', Sganzerla R. 🟨,
57', Spavone A. ↓, Starita E. ↑,
64', Tascone S. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
64', Russo L. ↓, Mastrantonio V. ↑,
68', Maressa T. ↓, Rottensteiner B. ↑,
76', Baldini E. ↓, Scapin T. ↑,
83', Rottensteiner B. 🟨,
84', Errico A. ↓, Viteritti O. ↑,
84', Tessiore A. ↓, Santoro S. ↑,
87', Lionetti G. ↓, Tuzza S. ↑,
90+4', Scapin T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent form of Guidonia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guidonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guidonia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guidonia	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
30.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Ravenna - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Pineto - Guidonia Montecelio	3:3 ✺
04.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTL
- AC Bra
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.26	Livorno - Bra	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Bra - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Sassari Torres - Bra	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bra - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Perugia - Bra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Bra - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1

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