Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 24

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Guidonia Montecelio		Arezzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.2	1.85
	4.77	3.47	1.81
	4.12	3.29	1.85	Watch
	4	3.1	1.8
	4.5	3.26	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (4.49)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
21.2%

Draw
27.8%

Arezzo
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.7%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

27.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Guidonia Montecelio - Arezzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Guidonia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Arezzo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guidonia (votes: 1 - 50%). Arezzo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Avella M. (G) 5. Cristini A. 13. Mule E. 2. Esempio S. 77. Zappella D. 21. Mastrantonio V. 33. Tascone S. 99. Tessiore A. 8. Errico A. 90. Bernardotto G. 10. Spavone A.	22. Venturi G. (G) 37. Righetti S. 4. Coppolaro M. 19. Chiosa M. 3. Tito F. 24. Chierico L. 7. Guccione F. 17. Ionita A. 10. Pattarello E. 91. Ravasio M. 21. Tavernelli C.
Substitutes
31. Bafaro A. 20. Falleni A. 3. Frascatore P. 11. Marchioro R. 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 23. Starita E. 1. Stellato G. (G) 4. Toma R. 27. Viteritti O. 66. Vitturini D.	30. Arena A. 71. Cianci P. 72. Cortesi M. 92. Dezi J. 8. Eklu S. M. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 13. Gilli M. 45. Perrotta F. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Ravasio M. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
65', Tito F. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
66', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Russo L. ↑,
66', Bernardotto G. ↓, Starita E. ↑,
72', Tascone S. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
75', Chierico L. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
75', Pattarello E. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
81', Spavone A. ↓, Falleni A. ↑,
81', Errico A. ↓, Vitturini D. ↑,
84', Guccione F. ↓, Cortesi M. ↑,
85', Zappella D. 🟨,
88', Eklu S. M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Guidonia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arezzo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arezzo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guidonia	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Arezzo - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.74%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Ravenna - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Pineto - Guidonia Montecelio	3:3 ✺
04.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Carpi - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
25.01.26	Arezzo - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Arezzo - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Forlì - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Sassari Torres - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.25	Arezzo - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1

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