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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 42.1%
Draw 33.5%
San Martín de Tucumán 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
29.6%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
28.3%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
36.4%
9.1%
Ferro Carril Oeste - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 5 - 50%). San Martin T will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ferro Carril: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martin T (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ferrario R. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Rivero F. (C) 6. Lorenzo A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Palacio P. 5. Ramirez G. 7. Tomasetti G. 10. Parisi L. 9. Diellos D. 11. Garcia F.
1. Sand D. (C) 4. Murillo F. 2. Penalba T. 6. Rodriguez G. 3. Zuliani H. 8. Hachen G. 5. Garcia M. 7. Garcia F. 10. Cuevas J. 11. Esquivel J. 9. Pino M.
Substitutes
18. Alonso A. 20. Benegas M. 14. Boolsen P. 15. Fernandez Pinto J. 13. Meritello F. 16. Monserrat M. 17. Quiroga S. 19. Romero L. 12. Szalich L. (G)
12. Carrizo N. (G) 19. Castro N. 18. Cisnero A. 15. Monje L. 16. Monroy G. 13. Orellana J. 14. Quiroz F. 17. Soraire J. 20. Veron M.
Coaches
Grelak A.
Martos A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Esquivel J. ⚽,
41', Garcia M. ↓, Monje L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garcia F. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
62', Tomasetti G. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
62', Diellos D. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
62', Parisi L. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
65', Cuevas J. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
65', Garcia F. ↓, Cisnero A. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Esquivel J. ⚽,
80', Hachen G. ↓, Soraire J. ↑,
80', Pino M. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
83', Ayala R. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Ferro Carril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ferro Carril could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
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Ferrario R. (G) 
Garcia F. 
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