Match Info

Cymru North - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guilsfield		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.65	1.8
	3.58	3.86	1.83
	3.53	3.94	1.88	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	3.33	4.26	1.87
	3.4	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.84)	3.81 ↓ (4.23)	1.83 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guilsfield
26%

Draw
24%

Holywell Town
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.7%

21.5%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

21.2%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guilsfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holywell Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guilsfield - Holywell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Hailes A. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Matthews I. ⚽,
8', 2 - 1, Breese J. ⚽,
29', 2 - 2, Edwards R. ⚽,
43', 3 - 2, Flory S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 3 - 3, Lindfield C. ⚽,
71', 4 - 3, Matthews I. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 4, Lindfield C. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guilsfield won 1.

Guilsfield has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Holywell Town has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guilsfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Holywell Town might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Holywell Town will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guilsfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:24. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Guilsfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Guilsfield	12	4	5	3	18:16	2	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
14.03.26	Guilsfield - Llandudno	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Guilsfield	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Brickfield Rangers - Guilsfield	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Newtown - Guilsfield	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
14.03.26	Holywell Town - Caersws	3:1 ✺
06.03.26	Llandudno - Holywell Town	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Holywell Town - Denbigh Town	5:1 ✺
20.02.26	Buckley Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Holywell Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
16.08.25	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	4:1
29.03.25	Guilsfield - Holywell Town	2:1
09.11.24	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	2:1
13.04.24	Guilsfield - Holywell Town	0:2
27.02.24	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	4:2
11.02.23	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	4:0
Welsh FA Cup
14.01.23	Guilsfield - Holywell Town	1:2

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