Match Info

FAW Welsh Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Essity Stadium (Flint) 🌤️ ...


	Gap Connahs Quay		Porthmadog

	1	X	2
	1.09	9.00	17.00
	1.07	9.00	15.00
	1.08	8.90	14.25
	1.09	8.2	20
	1.07	8.00	16.00
	1.05	8.30	19.50
	1.08	8.60	18.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↑ (1.06)	8.57 ↑ (8.33)	17.11 ↓ (19.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gap Connahs Quay
84.1%

Draw
10.6%

Porthmadog
5.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

84.6%

10.8%

4.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Porthmadog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Gap Connahs Quay - Porthmadog Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

Connahs Quay has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Porthmadog shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, Connahs Quay enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Connahs Quay has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Connahs Quay against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.10.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Gap Connahs Quay	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	1:4 ✺
18.09.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Airbus UK Broughton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
10.10.26	Gresford Athletic - Porthmadog	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Porthmadog - Bangor 1876	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Newtown - Porthmadog	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Porthmadog - Ruthin Town	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Porthmadog - Bala Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
27.01.18	Gap Connahs Quay - Porthmadog	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.10.26	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	✺
- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
31.10.26	Guilsfield - Porthmadog	✺

Gap Connahs Quay - Porthmadog