Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Guingamp		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.2	3.05	3.45
	2.21	3	3.3
	2.36	2.94	3.71
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.22	3.18	3.42	Watch
	2.25	3.05	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	3.44 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
41.9%

Draw
30.9%

Dijon
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Guingamp - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Dijon will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Guingamp has the most likely position - 12 (12.28%), has project points - 49, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dijon has the most likely position - 17 (15.75%), has project points - 41, has currently - 26, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, importance 39, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guingamp will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
04.03.23	Paris FC - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Guingamp - Caen	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Bastia - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Guingamp - Valenciennes	3:1 ✺
03.02.23	Quevilly - Guingamp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTWL
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
04.03.23	Dijon - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Valenciennes - Dijon	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Dijon - Metz	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Dijon	2:0 ✺
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.11.22	Dijon - Guingamp	1:1
22.04.22	Dijon - Guingamp	3:3
03.12.21	Guingamp - Dijon	3:2
French Ligue 1
16.03.19	Guingamp - Dijon	1:0
05.12.18	Dijon - Guingamp	2:1
06.05.18	Dijon - Guingamp	3:1
09.12.17	Guingamp - Dijon	4:0

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