Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Guiseley		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.5	3.2	2.48
	2.45	3.05	2.75
	2.57	3.14	2.8
	3	3.2	2.2
	2.49	3.2	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.75)	3.13 ↓ (3.22)	2.61 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
35.7%

Draw
29.2%

Curzon Ashton
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.2%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.7%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curzon Ashton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guiseley - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Guiseley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Curzon Ashton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Curzon Ashton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Guiseley have a series of guest games.

Recently Curzon Ashton have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guiseley won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guiseley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English National League North
18.04.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Guiseley	0:0 ✺
15.04.22	Guiseley - Gateshead	0:6 ✺
12.04.22	Kettering Town - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Gloucester City - Guiseley	4:1 ✺
05.04.22	Farsley - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWLL
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
18.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Darlington - Curzon Ashton	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	0:4 ✺
05.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
02.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.08.21	Curzon Ashton - Guiseley	1:1
31.08.19	Guiseley - Curzon Ashton	1:0
26.03.19	Guiseley - Curzon Ashton	1:0
04.03.19	Curzon Ashton - Guiseley	1:0
Club Friendly
30.07.16	Curzon Ashton - Guiseley	2:2

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