Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Changwon Football Centre Stadium (Changwon)


	Gyeongnam		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.05
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.42	3.32	2.22
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.26	3.4	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.9)	3.25 (3.25)	2.11 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongnam
28.4%

Draw
28.2%

Gwangju
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

28.2%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

27.4%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gyeongnam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gwangju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	33.3%	47.6%

Gyeongnam - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Gyeongnam will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Gwangju will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 26.2% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Gyeongnam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gwangju will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gyeongnam won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gyeongnam won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
18.05.22	Bucheon - Gyeongnam	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Gyeongnam - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
03.05.22	Ansan Greeners - Gyeongnam	2:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
27.04.22	Gyeongnam - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
23.04.22	Gyeongnam - Seoul E-Land	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWW
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 2
15.05.22	Gwangju - Ansan Greeners	2:0 ✺
07.05.22	Gwangju - Seoul E-Land	1:0 ✺
04.05.22	Gimpo - Gwangju	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
27.04.22	Incheon United - Gwangju	1:6 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
23.04.22	Gwangju - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
03.04.22	Gyeongnam - Gwangju	1:2
06.12.14	Gyeongnam - Gwangju	1:1
03.12.14	Gwangju - Gyeongnam	3:1
South Korean K-League 1
26.08.12	Gyeongnam - Gwangju	2:1
14.06.12	Gwangju - Gyeongnam	N/A

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