Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Ejarque E. (Arg)


	Güemes		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.25
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.35	2.75	3.5
	2.54	2.74	3.51
	2.35	2.8	3.2
	2.35	3.04	3.3	Watch
	2.42	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.4)	2.85 ↓ (2.93)	3.29 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
38.8%

Draw
32.8%

Defensores de Belgrano
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Güemes is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Güemes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Güemes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.04.23	Almirante Brown - Güemes	0:1 ✺
05.04.23	Güemes - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Patronato Parana - Güemes	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Güemes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WTWWL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.04.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
05.04.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Deportivo Flandria - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.09.22	Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
15.10.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Güemes	1:0
23.06.21	Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano	2:2

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