The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gżira United 40%
Draw 27.5%
Birżebbuġa St. Peters 32.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.8%
27.9%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
25.3%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Birżebbuġa St. Peters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birżebbuġa St. Peters than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Gżira United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 45. Ange M. 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 7. Luisinho 27. Maio F. 3. Mentz G. (C) 2. Pllana A. 44. Saldanha 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
1. Chiesa M. (G) 29. Alex Bruno (C) 4. Azzopardi M. 25. Bolanos Ramirez J. A. 21. Bondin K. 20. Costa Goncalves G. 2. Gustavo Felipe 98. Mendoza J. 88. Scerri Z. 18. Thellufsen R. 10. Yuri
Substitutes
17. De Flavia A. 23. Djadjo D. 32. Farias J. 11. Farrugia D. 4. Joyce N. 77. Pace K. 1. Sargent K. (G) 14. Trakosopoulos D.
22. Azzopardi J. (G) 77. Barbara A. 9. Camenzuli D. 5. Cassar Z. 23. Galea F. 19. Grioli E. 30. Riascos L. 15. Tokic S. 11. Tomaselli P. 28. Vella L. 8. Xuereb M.
Coaches
Abdilla D.
Santana L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Saldanha ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bondin K. ↓, Cassar Z. ↑,
46', Yuri ↓, Tokic S. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Costa Goncalves G. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Costa Goncalves G. 🟨,
63', Azzopardi M. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Mentz G. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Abela D. 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, Costa Goncalves G. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Thellufsen R. ↓, Riascos L. ↑,
85', Costa Goncalves G. ↓, Tomaselli P. ↑,
87', Luisinho ↓, Farias J. ↑,
87', Cassar Z. 🟨,
90', Van de Bovenkamp M. 🟨,
90+4', Farias J. 🟨,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 11th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: ) and 12th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).
Gżira is Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out ).
Birżebbuġa is Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out ).
Gżira has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Birżebbuġa is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Birżebbuġa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.