Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Marsaxlokk		Gżira United

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.52	4.52
	1.7	3.65	4.42	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.4
	1.71	3.48	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	4.43 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marsaxlokk
53.4%

Draw
26.1%

Gżira United
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Marsaxlokk - Gżira United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mafoumbi C. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 16. Arias U. 11. Corbalan J. C. 17. Dodo 4. El Hasni O. 28. Mihana R. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 5. Pepe E. 33. Simkus D.	33. Colombo E. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 19. Bastic S. 57. Bonilla J. 13. Failla C. 98. Kante 10. Maxuell Samurai 3. Mentz G. (C) 23. N’sa C. 96. Stojanovic M. 30. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
14. Attard E. 15. Borg I. 1. Calleja Cremona M. (G) 23. Caruana T. 7. Christie-Davies I. 18. Galea N. 8. Ghio J. 19. Kirby J. 26. Maniscalco M. 21. Vella J. 3. Weder	5. Abela D. 8. Borg B. 28. Cassar N. 11. Farrugia D. 20. Galea K. (G) 25. Ghigo G. 7. Martinez S. 92. Previ A. 2. Ramos P. 1. Sargent K. (G) 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
Coaches
Potenza V.	Abdilla D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Minala J. 🟨,
45', Bastic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Dodo ⚽,
58', 1 - 1, Maxuell Samurai ⚽,
62', Mihana R. ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
69', Bastic S. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
69', Stojanovic M. ↓, Abela D. ↑,
70', Minala J. ↓, Christie-Davies I. ↑,
70', Simkus D. 🟨,
71', Mentz G. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Dodo ⚽,
79', Arias U. ↓, Weder ↑,
81', Bonilla J. ↓, Farrugia D. ↑,
84', Kante 🟨,
89', Andre Carlos ↓, Van de Bovenkamp M. ↑,
89', Failla C. ↓, Cassar N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gżira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Marsaxlokk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Marsaxlokk is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	11:9	2	11
11	Gzira	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
15.04.26	Marsaxlokk - Floriana	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Marsaxlokk - Valletta	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Mosta - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTTW
- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
15.04.26	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Valletta - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.04.26	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	4:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
14.03.26	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
18.01.26	Gżira United - Marsaxlokk	3:0
17.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Gżira United	2:0
21.02.25	Gżira United - Marsaxlokk	0:1
08.12.24	Gżira United - Marsaxlokk	0:0
18.08.24	Marsaxlokk - Gżira United	0:1
06.04.24	Marsaxlokk - Gżira United	1:1
03.12.23	Gżira United - Marsaxlokk	2:4

Upcoming Matches