Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frid I. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 12
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Mexico	11:45	Disney+
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 19
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 18
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus


	Häcken		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4
	1.92	3.55	3.7
	1.97	3.66	3.85
	1.99	3.64	3.64	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.75
	1.92	3.65	3.87
	1.92	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.28)	3.6 ↑ (3.24)	3.79 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
48.9%

Draw
26.2%

AEK Larnaca
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Häcken's performance.

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Larnaca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Häcken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Larnaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	15.4%	26.9%

Häcken - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Häcken will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Häcken: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - AEK Larnaca (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - AEK Larnaca (2.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Berisha E. (G) 11. Lindberg J. 4. Lode M. 22. Helander F. 21. Lundkvist A. 14. Gustafson S. (C) 8. Andersen S. 10. Rygaard M. 20. Svanback A. 39. Brusberg I. 24. Layouni A.	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 22. Ekpolo G. 15. Milicevic H. (C) 4. Saborit E. 93. Gnali J. 29. Naoum G. 17. Pons P. 7. Ledes Gustavo 21. Miramon 9. Ivanovic D. 11. Bajic R.
Substitutes
18. Al Saed D. 16. Dahbo P. 19. Dembe J. 3. Hammar J. 44. Hilvenius H. 32. Jansson O. (G) 15. Leach S. 1. Linde A. (G) 7. Ngabo S. 29. Nioule S. 23. Samuelsson O. 5. Wembangomo B.	19. Angielski K. 30. Cabrera E. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 14. Garcia A. 2. Ioannou P. 6. Jimmy Suarez 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 27. Roberge V. 10. Rubio W.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Idiakez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Bajic R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Brusberg I. ↓, Ngabo S. ↑,
62', Lundkvist A. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Helander F. (Own goal),
68', Naoum G. 🟨,
74', Bajic R. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
75', Naoum G. ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
78', Lindberg J. ↓, Wembangomo B. ↑,
78', Svanback A. ↓, Hammar J. ↑,
78', Lode M. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
84', Miramon ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
90', Ivanovic D. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
90+1', Saborit E. ↓, Roberge V. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Hammar J. ⚽,
90+6', Ekpolo G. 🟨,
90+6', Pons P. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gamla Ullevi.

Recent form of Häcken has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

AEK Larnaca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

AEK Larnaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Häcken will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Back Injury) Al Saed D. (Inactive) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Vaisanen L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y. (Injury) Komar K. (Broken Hand)

There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Roberge V. (Inactive) Rohden M. (Inactive) Saborit E. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Häcken	2:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.11.25	Mjällby - Häcken	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Häcken - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.11.25	Häcken - Malmö	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	AIK - Häcken	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLTT
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
06.12.25	AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna	2:1 ✺
01.12.25	Akritas Chlorakas - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Rijeka - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.11.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - AEK Larnaca	1:4 ✺
09.11.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTWW

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