Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 2 November 2023, Thursday


	Hércules		Burgos

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.95
	3.9	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.95	Watch
	4.03	3.23	1.94
	3.7	3.1	1.91	Watch
	4.15	3.22	1.96	Watch
	3.75	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (5.38)	3.22 ↓ (3.54)	1.97 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
23.9%

Draw
28.9%

Burgos
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

26.4%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

25.2%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hércules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Hércules - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hércules will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Burgos will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hércules: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cendon J. (G) 2. Nolan R. 3. Candelas A. 5. Gomez Meneses J. M. 15. Vazquez S. 21. Michel 19. Mangada C. 8. Artiles J. 7. Alvarito (C) 11. N'djoli J. 34. Lorenzo D.	1. Badiashile L. (G) 2. Gonzalez B. 20. Sierra G. 24. Saveljich E. 27. Lopez J. 17. Andy 14. Elgezabal U. (C) 22. Munoz M. 8. Martin A. 9. Nino F. 11. Alex
Substitutes
6. Colomina R. 30. de Palmas R. 10. Espinosa N. 28. Galvan J. 16. Garcia J. 20. Ketu K. 24. Lopez D. 17. Mendes M. 4. Molina S. 18. Sanz H. 1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G)	18. Aitor Cordoba 12. Appin K. 5. Atienza M. 10. Bermejo A. 13. Caro J. (G) 16. Curro 29. De Gea R. (G) 28. del Cerro S. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 23. Matos Jose 7. Ojeda D.

Preview

Hércules is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Burgos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hércules could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burgos is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.10.23	Valencia B - Hércules	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	CE Europa - Hércules	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Hércules - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Penya Independent - Hércules	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Hércules - Andratx	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
30.10.23	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Racing Santander - Burgos	3:0 ✺
15.10.23	Burgos - Villarreal B	3:2 ✺
08.10.23	Tenerife - Burgos	2:1 ✺
04.10.23	Burgos - Leganés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLW

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