Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)


	Ilves		HPS

	1	X	2
	4.15	4.15	1.58
	3.92	4.15	1.59
	3.56	4.08	1.76	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.57
	4.46	4.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.83)	4.12 ↑ (3.9)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ilves
22.2%

Draw
21.9%

HPS
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

23.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

23%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

HPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPS than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ilves - HPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Korpi J. (G) 2. Hakola L. 7. Heinonen I. 3. Italinna E. 10. Jantti C. 8. Ljesnjanin A. 9. Olmala A. 22. Olmala H. 4. Pirila R. 18. Pulkkinen E. 14. Rasinen A. (C)	23. Korpela T. (G) 20. Jaaskelainen O. 12. Kamppi P. 8. Kinnunen A. 15. Oksanen V. 11. Paakkari E. 77. Punsar M. 5. Reis O. 9. Rinkinen H. 16. Simonen A. (C) 17. Sinivuori F.
Substitutes
27. Hertteli P. 11. Lahteenmaki L. 56. Lilja T. 13. Luotonen A. 31. Maki-Kamppi V. (G) 17. Tarkkanen A.	7. Kahre O. 2. Kataja M. 13. Kohtamaki A. 14. Perttula T. 21. Puolakka L. 1. Roine V. (G) 26. Talka M. 4. Welling E. 10. Xiang Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sinivuori F. ↓, Xiang Q. ↑,
57', Reis O. ↓, Perttula T. ↑,
57', Kamppi P. ↓, Welling E. ↑,
57', Talka M. ↓, Puolakka L. ↑,
60', Heinonen I. ↓, Lahteenmaki L. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Rasinen A. ⚽,
80', Pulkkinen E. ↓, Hertteli P. ↑,
84', Hertteli P. 🟨,
86', Korpi J. 🟨,
89', Olmala A. ↓, Luotonen A. ↑,
89', Rasinen A. ↓, Tarkkanen A. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1.

Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

HPS is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, HPS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	HPS W	22	12	5	5	34:25	9	41
5	Ilves W	22	8	2	12	39:45	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
17.05.26	Gnistan - Ilves	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Ilves - KuPS	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Åland United - Ilves	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	HJK - Ilves	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ilves - VIFK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW
- Helsingin Palloseura Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
17.05.26	HPS - HJK	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	VIFK - HPS	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	HPS - PK-35 Vantaa	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	HPS - Åland United	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Gnistan - HPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
31.08.24	HPS - Ilves	1:0
09.06.24	Ilves - HPS	0:2
26.08.23	Ilves - HPS	0:1
10.06.23	HPS - Ilves	1:1
27.08.22	Ilves - HPS	4:0
28.05.22	HPS - Ilves	5:0
25.09.21	Ilves - HPS	4:0

Ilves - HPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide