Match Info

HNL - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek)

Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Osijek		Lokomotiva Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.1
	1.98	3.50	3.60
	1.9	3.35	3.8
	1.95	3.39	4.47
	1.9	3.37	4.16	Watch
	1.85	3.35	4.4
	1.86	3.61	4.23	Watch
	1.87	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.96)	3.43 ↑ (2.98)	4.06 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek
49.6%

Draw
27.3%

Lokomotiva Zagreb
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

31%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

29.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Malenica M. (C) 77. Mustafic S. 49. Kolarik I. 26. Jelenic L. 22. Jurisic R. 23. Vrbancic L. 39. Bukvic D. 48. Jezic J. 8. Mikolcic S. 11. Omerovic N. 79. Leon A.	12. Posavec J. (G) 5. Jukic T. 21. Kralevski T. 4. Triantafyllou A. 14. Lorber M. 8. Katic I. 10. Subotic M. (C) 17. Pajac M. 7. Vukovic D. 11. Susak M. 24. Maric M.
Substitutes
67. Bakti B. 99. Balelo 1. Curcija N. (G) 7. Dolcek I. 18. Farkas N. 33. Hasic E. 17. Jakupovic A. 98. Jovicic M. 47. Kalem D. 30. Ljatifi A. 16. Petrusenko O. 24. Posavec L.	22. Antunovic M. 9. Belcar L. 20. Cabrajic K. 28. Djurkovic N. 6. Fetai F. 27. Godec N. 16. Kayke 26. Morina D. 30. Reic D. 32. Savatovic L. (G) 15. Thaqi D. 29. Vasilj J.
Coaches
Bessone F.	Jelavic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Susak M. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
46', Kralevski T. ↓, Belcar L. ↑,
64', Jezic J. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
67', Subotic M. ↓, Fetai F. ↑,
68', Mikolcic S. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
69', Jukic T. 🟨,
75', Jakupovic A. 🟨,
80', Maric M. ↓, Thaqi D. ↑,
80', Leon A. 🟨,
81', Kolarik I. 🟨,
85', Lorber M. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Jakupovic A. ⚽, Bukvic D. (A),
90+2', Katic I. ↓, Djurkovic N. ↑,
90+2', Bukvic D. ↓, Bakti B. ↑,
90+2', Kolarik I. ↓, Hasic E. ↑,
90+3', Leon A. ↓, Balelo ↑,
90+5', Pajac M. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Lokomotiva has had a series of home games.

In this match, Osijek is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Osijek: Caic V. (Inactive) Matkovic A. (Knee Injury) Mejia Moscoso D. M. (Knee Injury) Shopov S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	4	16
7	Lok. Zagreb	8	2	1	5	11:16	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
08.08.26	Rudeš - Osijek	1:6 ✺
01.08.26	Gorica - Osijek	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Osijek - Çaykur Rizespor	1:3 ✺
22.07.26	Osijek - Cibalia	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Osijek - Budapest Honved	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL
08.08.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	3:1 ✺
10.07.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Partizan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
25.04.26	Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:0
21.02.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	3:1
23.11.25	Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1
31.08.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	1:1
09.05.25	Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1
08.03.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	3:0
08.12.24	Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:0

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