Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	KuPS Kuopio		Haka

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.8
	1.63	4.3	4.9	Watch
	1.65	4.38	4.88
	1.20	6.55	13.21	Watch
	1.6	4	5
	1.62	4.3	4.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)	4.55 ↓ (4.58)	6.03 ↓ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
62.5%

Draw
21.4%

Haka
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.9%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

KuPS Kuopio - Haka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Haka will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - KuPS (1.29) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Haka (2.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Haka (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 24. Armah B. 23. Lotjonen A. 13. Oksanen J. 32. Tikkanen R. 14. Pasanen S. 10. Arifi D. 7. Voutilainen J. 34. Ruoppi O. 11. Sadiku A. 17. Heinonen A.	12. Lepola A. (G) 30. Purosalo V. 3. Friberg N. (C) 2. Talo N. 13. Sallinen O. 16. Bulgakov D. 19. Okyere A. 7. Da Sylva J. 66. Selander R. 64. Parfitt-Williams D. 17. Multanen K.
Substitutes
12. Hakala A. (G) 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 8. Pennanen P. 30. Sahimaa L. 6. Savolainen S. 28. Seidu S. 20. Toure M.	9. Akintunde J. 32. Heino O. (G) 4. Houston J. 11. Hudd R. 21. Jalasvaara A. 8. Lindholm S. 10. Lucas Cini 6. Romero E. 99. Sejdiu A.
Coaches
Wiss J.	Martonen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Sadiku A. ⚽, Armah B. (A),
27', Sadiku A. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
31', 2 - 0, Toure M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Parfitt-Williams D. ↓, Sejdiu A. ↑,
46', Okyere A. ↓, Lindholm S. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Bulgakov D. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Toure M. ⚽, Lotjonen A. (A),
59', Multanen K. ↓, Akintunde J. ↑,
63', Ruoppi O. ↓, Pennanen P. ↑,
63', Tikkanen R. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
67', Bulgakov D. ↓, Hudd R. ↑,
76', Heinonen A. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
76', Pasanen S. ↓, Seidu S. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Akintunde J. ⚽,
80', Luyeye-Lutumba J. 🟨,
89', Selander R. ↓, Lucas Cini ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 3.

KuPS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Haka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Haka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KuPS is the team to beat.

There will not play in KuPS: Ricardo P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Haka: Almen M. (Inactive) Hughes L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
UEFA Champions League
29.07.25	Kairat - KuPS Kuopio	3:0 ✺
22.07.25	KuPS Kuopio - Kairat	2:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.07.25	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Milsami Orhei - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
08.07.25	KuPS Kuopio - Milsami Orhei	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTTW
- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.07.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
21.07.25	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Gnistan - Haka	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Haka - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
02.07.25	VPS Vaasa - Haka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
24.06.25	Haka - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 penalties
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.05.25	Haka - KuPS Kuopio	1:3
29.09.24	KuPS Kuopio - Haka	2:0
11.08.24	Haka - KuPS Kuopio	2:2
12.06.24	KuPS Kuopio - Haka	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
02.02.24	Haka - KuPS Kuopio	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.08.23	Haka - KuPS Kuopio	2:2

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