Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Haka		SJK

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.1	1.67	Watch
	3.9	4	1.78
	4.15	4.25	1.68	Watch
	4.38	4.43	1.73
	9.15	6.51	1.25	Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.8
	4.1	4.24	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (3.11)	4.47 ↑ (3.77)	1.66 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
20.2%

Draw
21.6%

SJK
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

24.4%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haka's form might have worsened.

SJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SJK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.5%	5%	92.5%

Haka - SJK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - SJK (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: SJK will win (37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.34% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): SJK will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. SJK (votes: 20 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lepola A. (G) 30. Purosalo V. 24. Boamah M. (C) 15. Almen M. 13. Sallinen O. 99. Sejdiu A. 19. Okyere A. 66. Selander R. 11. Hudd R. 9. Akintunde J. 17. Multanen K.	1. Paunio R. (G) 4. Pires K. 28. Chukwudi S. 6. Yussif S. 3. Fati B. 30. Padera P. 10. Paananen K. (C) 18. Arsalo M. 70. Vargas A. 9. Streng J. 7. Karjalainen R.
Substitutes
16. Bulgakov D. 4. Houston J. 23. Lescano J. 8. Lindholm S. 10. Lucas Cini 64. Parfitt-Williams D. 6. Romero E. 22. Silen J. (G) 2. Talo N.	14. Appiah Nyarko K. 8. Gasc V. R. 11. Laine L. 33. Machaal A. 19. Mastokangas E. 22. Murilo 80. Riihimaki H. (G) 17. Tessilimi O. 5. Vaisto O.
Coaches
Martonen K.	Grieve S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Paananen K. ⚽, Fati B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Selander R. ↓, Romero E. ↑,
46', Hudd R. ↓, Bulgakov D. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Multanen K. (Pen),
53', Padera P. ↓, Gasc V. R. ↑,
58', Romero E. 🟨,
58', Fati B. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Multanen K. (Pen),
66', 2 - 2, Streng J. ⚽, Fati B. (A),
71', Sallinen O. ↓, Houston J. ↑,
71', Akintunde J. ↓, Lescano J. ↑,
75', Fati B. ↓, Murilo ↑,
75', Karjalainen R. ↓, Laine L. ↑,
75', Vargas A. ↓, Tessilimi O. ↑,
79', Multanen K. ↓, Lindholm S. ↑,
88', Lindholm S. 🟨,
89', Yussif S. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Appiah Nyarko K. ⚽, Streng J. (A),
90+5', Houston J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

Haka is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )

SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 0.

Haka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

SJK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Haka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, SJK is the team to beat.

There will not play in Haka: Friberg N. (Yellow Cards) Gianini Dantas N. (Inactive) Hughes L. (Inactive) Mommo E. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Haka - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 30.15%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.08.25	Haka - HJK	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	FF Jaro - Haka	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	KuPS Kuopio - Haka	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
21.07.25	IFK Mariehamn - Haka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.08.25	FF Jaro - SJK	0:4 ✺
10.08.25	VPS Vaasa - SJK	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	SJK - KTP Kotka	3:0 ✺
27.07.25	Inter Turku - SJK	4:1 ✺
20.07.25	SJK - Gnistan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.04.25	SJK - Haka	2:2
02.11.24	SJK - Haka	2:2
30.10.24	Haka - SJK	1:2
20.09.24	Haka - SJK	0:3
29.06.24	SJK - Haka	2:1
11.05.24	Haka - SJK	2:0
Club Friendly
30.03.24	SJK - Haka	2:0

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