Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 19

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: OmaSp Stadion (Seinajoki)

Referee: Hyytia J. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	SJK		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.70	3.30	Watch
	2.00	3.70	3.30
	2.06	3.60	3.10	Watch
	2.03	3.92	3.51
	2.02	3.91	3.31	Watch
	2.01	3.85	3.40
	1.93	3.76	3.53	Watch
	1.96	3.60	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.05)	3.76 ↑ (3.65)	3.33 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SJK
46.9%

Draw
24.9%

Gnistan
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

25.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

25.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

SJK - Gnistan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SJK (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Gnistan (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: SJK will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. SJK (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gnistan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paunio R. (C) 6. Yussif S. 4. Pires K. 5. Vaisto O. 14. Murilo Henrique 31. Onuoha E. 8. Bostrom A. 23. Wilson A. 15. Mommo E. 7. Kelwin 9. Streng J.	13. Lyberopoulos O. (G) 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 2. Dahlstrom B. 27. Hannula O. 31. Jouhi A. 14. Eremenko S. 15. Europaeus G. 26. Eremenko R. 23. Ylatupa S. 17. Akinyemi A.
Substitutes
42. Caio Araujo 51. Cisse A. 19. Mastokangas E. 26. Moisio J. 28. Nwanege K. 47. Suso M. 27. Vellios A. 22. Vesterbacka L. 35. Viitala J. (G)	7. Atarah A. 95. Juricka M. (G) 10. Latonen J. 40. Ojala J. 11. Perez D. 25. Rossi N.
Coaches
Wiss J.	Leppalahti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Europaeus G. ⚽, Eremenko R. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Mommo E. ⚽,
11', 1 - 2, Eremenko R. ⚽, Gnanou R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dahlstrom B. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
56', Bostrom A. ↓, Vellios A. ↑,
60', Onuoha E. 🟨,
67', Kelwin ↓, Suso M. ↑,
67', Murilo Henrique ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
68', Eremenko R. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
76', Mommo E. 🟨,
78', Pires K. 🟨,
79', Ylatupa S. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Vellios A. ⚽,
81', Yussif S. ↓, Moisio J. ↑,
82', Wilson A. ↓, Caio Araujo ↑,
84', Moisio J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

SJK will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in SJK: Bjorkskog A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E. (Knee Injury) Launiala K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in SJK: Paananen K. (Inactive) Padera P. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, SJK won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40:32	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.08.26	SJK - HJK	3:0 ✺
24.07.26	FF Jaro - SJK	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	VPS Vaasa - SJK	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	SJK - TPS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.08.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Inter Turku - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Oulu - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn	4:2 ✺
04.07.26	Lahti - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.05.26	Gnistan - SJK	3:2
Club Friendly
14.03.26	Gnistan - SJK	1:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.11.25	SJK - Gnistan	3:0
19.10.25	Gnistan - SJK	3:4
20.07.25	SJK - Gnistan	3:1
16.05.25	Gnistan - SJK	2:2
26.08.24	SJK - Gnistan	0:1

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