Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: The Shay (Halifax)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Halifax Town		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.8
	2.15	3	3
	2.08	3.15	3.5
	1.99	3.3	4.07
	2.28	2.60	3.95	Watch
	2.12	3.18	3.41
	2.21	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.44)	3.05 ↓ (3.31)	3.53 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
43.6%

Draw
30.2%

Brackley Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Halifax Town's performance.

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brackley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brackley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Halifax Town - Brackley Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Halifax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 29. Tarima S. 5. Hobson S. 16. Mills J. 10. Cooke J. 4. Hugill W. 27. Turner-Cooke J. 8. Hmami J. 22. Kawa D. 11. Capello A. 9. Harris W.	1. Maxted J. (G) 17. Donawa J. 5. Morrison K. 6. Dean G. 18. Armitage W. 37. Haynes R. 7. Pollock S. 10. Roberts M. 4. Price J. 11. Lowe M. 14. Waldron D.
Substitutes
3. Alimi-Adetoro A. 17. Bray O. 31. Devonport O. 12. Ford N. (G) 20. Jenkins J. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 19. Warburton A.	3. Calder R. 21. Gregory C. (G) 27. Hall C. 15. Hobson B. 2. Lyttle T. 12. Nottingham M. 9. Okafor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Armitage W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tarima S. ↓, Bray O. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Kawa D. ⚽,
55', Pollock S. 🟨,
68', Armitage W. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
74', Devonport O. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
74', Kawa D. ↓, Latty-Fairweather T. ↑,
74', Hmami J. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
75', Haynes R. ↓, Calder R. ↑,
76', Donawa J. ↓, Lyttle T. ↑,
82', Waldron D. ↓, Okafor M. ↑,
83', Lowe M. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
87', 🟨,
88', Turner-Cooke J. ↓, Alimi-Adetoro A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Bray O. ⚽, Latty-Fairweather T. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Halifax has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brackley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Brackley has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Halifax won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League
01.10.25	Rochdale - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Halifax Town - Aldershot Town	4:2 ✺
24.09.25	Morecambe - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Gateshead - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Halifax Town - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWT
- Brackley Town
English National League
01.10.25	Brackley Town - Wealdstone	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Solihull Moors - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Brackley Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Brackley Town - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Brackley Town - Manchester United U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.04.17	Brackley Town - Halifax Town	0:0
29.10.16	Halifax Town - Brackley Town	1:3
12.05.13	Brackley Town - Halifax Town	0:1
16.03.13	Halifax Town - Brackley Town	0:0
27.10.12	Brackley Town - Halifax Town	0:0

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