Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.9
	1.85	3.45	3.9
	1.87	3.58	4.16
	25.00	12.65	1.03	Watch
	1.86	3.45	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↑ (1.87)	5.31 ↑ (3.68)	3.38 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
24.2%

Draw
29.5%

Wealdstone
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

24.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brackley Town's form might have worsened.

Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wealdstone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+26.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brackley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wealdstone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brackley Town - Wealdstone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brackley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maxted J. (G) 18. Armitage W. 8. Brown Z. 3. Calder R. 6. Dean G. 27. Hall C. 19. Lilly Z. 11. Lowe M. 9. Okafor M. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M.	1. Baptiste D. (G) 27. Adarkwa S. 7. Boldewijn E. (C) 15. Chinedu P. 3. Georgiou A. 8. Kadji D. 22. McAvoy C. 14. Obiero M. 29. Tiensia J. 20. Tshikuna N. 5. Woodman D.
Substitutes
17. Donawa J. 21. Gregory C. (G) 37. Haynes R. 15. Hobson B. 5. Morrison K. 7. Pollock S. 14. Waldron D.	16. Diarra M. 11. Hassan S. 17. Hutchinson D. 10. Kretzschmar M. 28. Lucas (G) 4. Mussa O. 9. Olomola O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Brown Z. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
21', 0 - 1, Boldewijn E. ⚽, Obiero M. (A),
35', Roberts M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McAvoy C. ↓, Hassan S. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Obiero M. ⚽, Kadji D. (A),
51', Lilly Z. 🟨,
59', Hall C. 🟨,
59', Hall C. ↓, Pollock S. ↑,
59', Okafor M. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,
67', Tshikuna N. ↓, Olomola O. ↑,
82', Dean G. ↓, Donawa J. ↑,
85', Woodman D. ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
85', Tiensia J. ↓, Hutchinson D. ↑,
88', Boldewijn E. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 15).

Brackley is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wealdstone's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brackley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brackley is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brackley won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Brackley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League
27.09.25	Solihull Moors - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Brackley Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Brackley Town - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Brackley Town - Manchester United U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWT
- Wealdstone
English National League
27.09.25	Wealdstone - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Tamworth - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Morecambe - Wealdstone	4:3 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Wealdstone - Leicester City U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
24.03.18	Wealdstone - Brackley Town	0:2
17.03.18	Brackley Town - Wealdstone	1:0
04.02.17	Wealdstone - Brackley Town	1:4

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