Match Info

National League - Round 28

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: The Shay (Halifax)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Halifax Town		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.7
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.85	3.7	3.6
	1.91	3.77	3.57	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.82	3.64	3.64
	1.87	3.8	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)	3.67 ↓ (3.73)	3.6 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
49.5%

Draw
25%

Morecambe
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	4.5%	9.1%

Halifax Town - Morecambe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Halifax (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Users Predictions: Halifax Town will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (C) 19. Warburton A. 15. Smith W. 5. Hobson S. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 27. Turner-Cooke J. 30. Johnson C. 17. Bray O. 4. Hugill W. 11. Capello A. 9. Harris W.	40. Blackman J. (G) 2. Payne L. 28. Fogarty T. 5. Dean H. 3. Conte R. 36. Nolan J. 8. Azeez M. 17. Lewis P. 7. Edwards G. (C) 32. Thomas G. 21. Nuttall J.
Substitutes
3. Alimi-Adetoro A. 12. Ford N. (G) 18. Hoti F. 20. Jenkins J. 33. Lavery T. 16. Mills J. 7. Wright M.	33. Akindileni T. 41. Boney M. (G) 19. Campbell M. 29. McWilliams A. 42. Popov C. 18. Tollitt B. 15. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Harris W. ⚽, Capello A. (A),
29', Payne L. 🟨,
42', Lewis P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Nuttall J. ↓, Popov C. ↑,
69', Hugill W. ↓, Hoti F. ↑,
70', Bray O. ↓, Wright M. ↑,
74', Thomas G. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
78', Capello A. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
87', Popov C. 🟨,
89', Turner-Cooke J. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Hoti F. 🟨,
90', Turner-Cooke J. ↓, Alimi-Adetoro A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 9 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Halifax is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Morecambe has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Halifax might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Halifax won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	FC Halifax	13	6	2	5	22:15	7	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League
17.01.26	Halifax Town - Boston United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Halifax Town - Anstey Nomads	4:0 ✺
English National League
03.01.26	Forest Green Rovers - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Tamworth - Halifax Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Halifax Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Morecambe
English National League
17.01.26	Morecambe - Scunthorpe United	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Morecambe	6:2 ✺
English National League
30.12.25	Carlisle United - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Morecambe - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Brackley Town - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.09.25	Morecambe - Halifax Town	1:2
English FA Cup
20.11.18	Halifax Town - Morecambe	1:0
10.11.18	Morecambe - Halifax Town	0:0
Club Friendly
23.07.16	Halifax Town - Morecambe	6:2

Halifax Town - Morecambe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide