Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)


	Kidderminster Harriers		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.00	15.11	25.00	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.75
	1.77	3.58	3.92
	1.78	3.75	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.9)	5.91 ↑ (3.45)	8.03 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
67.6%

Draw
18.7%

Morecambe
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

24.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kidderminster Harriers's performance.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kidderminster Harriers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morecambe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kidderminster Harriers - Morecambe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kidderminster (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kidderminster Harriers will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Devine R. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Obi E. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Onanaye T. ⚽,
31', 3 - 1, Muskwe A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 4 - 1, Davis D. ⚽,
45+4', 5 - 1, Reynolds R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 6 - 1, Kalambayi P. ⚽,
83', 6 - 2, Azeez M. ⚽,

Preview

Kidderminster has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Morecambe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kidderminster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kidderminster might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
03.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Curzon Ashton	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Kidderminster Harriers - AFC Telford United	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	Hereford - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Fylde	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Worksop Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWW
- Morecambe
English National League
30.12.25	Carlisle United - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Morecambe - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Brackley Town - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Morecambe - Boston United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWWL

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